Future connectivity divide scenarios

A recent McKinsey Report provides valuable insight into possible future connectivity scenarios in different countries and different markets. Surprisingly enough, the result is not an immediate closing of the connectivity divide – rather the exact opposite. Their research suggests that while 80 percent of the world’s population could benefit from advanced coverage in ten years, only a quarter will have access to the networks offering the highest speeds and lowest latency via advanced technologies. .

McKinsey estimates that it would cost between $ 700 billion and $ 900 billion to bring true 5G broadband connectivity to countries representing 25% of the world’s population. Based on this scenario, they predict that around half of all subscribers in countries like Japan, South Korea and the United States as well as China could have such coverage by 2030, compared to only 5 to 15% in the rest of the world. .


The key message of this analysis is that connectivity for all is, and will be for the foreseeable future, a global technological and industrial challenge.

A collected approach

Today, industry developments designed to bridge the connectivity gap span the entire technological spectrum with innovations and breakthroughs in all areas including fiber, 5G, fixed mobile, micro- airwaves, television white spaces and satellite. For example, the recent regulatory approval of the TV-white space frequency spectrum in South Africa will allow broadband deployments to high-density semi-urban population areas with better economies of scale than the 5G needed to drive the ‘Wi-Fi access at street level.

As investments in fiber-to-the-home continue, the roll-out of 5G wherever possible, fixed wireless networks for regional municipalities as well as the addition of high-speed satellite services are progressing. also. In particular, satellite services operated on new global platforms such as the Intelsat Flex platform increasingly meet the needs of pro-sumers (professional consumers), businesses and businesses.

Each technology has an intrinsic and fundamental value proposition and one cannot simply replace the other. Fiber services are ideal for well-developed and structured environments with defined market demand for fixed geographic locations. It is perfect for delivering high capacity street level demand to fixed premises for consumers, businesses and businesses. LTE, 3G and to some extent 5G is the platform of choice for mobility services related to convenience and connectivity for individuals rather than households.


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